Showing posts with label Professor F A Hayek. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Professor F A Hayek. Show all posts

Friday, November 22, 2019

Economics of Patterns

Kapil Viswanathan has good piece in Livemint on economics of modern vs traditional. Some excerpts:



"Friedrich von Hayek, the Nobel prize-winning economist, believed that there are no laws in economics; only patterns, and we must learn to recognize these. Doing so involves breaking away from a Newtonian mindset of definitive and predictive models and equilibria, and approaching the study of economics from a fundamentally different perspective."

"As Hayek advises, we must attempt not to shape results as a craftsman shapes his handiwork, but rather to cultivate growth by providing the appropriate environment, as a gardener does for plants."

Wednesday, July 10, 2019

BR Shenoy’s Early Life and Association with Independence Movement and Dissent Note

In the below videos, Prof BR Shenoy's son Prof Subodh R Shenoy explains about his father's early journey into freedom movement, early education and landing at LSE to study under Prof FA Hayek. 


According to Centre for Civil Society, New Delhi "B.R. Shenoy is the only Indian economist to write a note of dissent to the second Five Year Plan. Why did Shenoy, India's first monetary economist, think that “the only hope of eradication of corruption on the current scale is a complete U-turn in our policies”

Monday, June 24, 2019

M K Gandhi and F A Hayek needed for New India

Sanjeev Sabhlok has very interesting article wherein he says beautifully 
"Hayek’s best-known paper – the exhilarating The Use of Knowledge in Society – expounds an extraordinarily complex theory in plain English. Till the end of his life, such as with his last book, “The Fatal Conceit”, Hayek continued to show socialists that they do not have, cannot have, the knowledge necessary for a society to succeed. His Nobel lecture was beautifully entitled, The Pretence of Knowledge.
But socialists are oblivious to his insights. Full of the fatal conceit he cautioned against, confident in their pretence of knowledge and ability to plan for the “masses”, they reject Hayek without having read him. A senior former IAS officer told me that Hayek is irrelevant since he advocated an unbridled free-market. Such socialists give Hayek a bad rap without having read him, just as Gandhi rejected Adam Smith without reading his work." More here.

Sunday, July 20, 2014

NDA's First Budget 2014

First Thought: Given the conditions of prevailing Indian political economy, the Union Budget for 2014-2015 is a good start for many new thinking of the new government. In many ways, the government has clarified the official focuses and intentions in many sectors particularly in small entrepreneurs development, infrastructure development, energy sector, and so on. The income tax and other tax saving exemptions are very important positive development for millions of people.

Sensible good people agree on all the right directions of the Budget and expose the wrong intentions. On that line here are some good points from the random experts. I do not agree with everyone on all the matters of budgeted issues/challenges.


To start with. Dr Bhalla says the "Budget 2014-15 (but not the long “everything and don’t forget the kitchen sink” speech) is one of the best content budgets of the last two decades." 


PBM says "This budget is a cross between bad elements of UPA 2 and NDA 1; there is no new Modi 1 in sight yet. The budget has no poetry and uncertain plumbing."


Dr.Desai on "the gigantic statue of Sardar Vallabhbhai Patel. I am a great admirer of him; I met him for the last time just two months before his death. But a statue of him is of the same order as the elephants erected by Mayavati, only a hundred times more wasteful."


Other useful links:


If you care about global warming, blame Keynes and follow Hayek.

What does socialism do to ethics




Sunday, February 2, 2014

AAP, Sen and others

"Yet if liberals are to create common ground with socialists and Marxists in the AAP, Sen and Dreze offer a promising blueprint, despite some shortcomings. It would be silly for the liberals to cite Adam Smith or Friedrich Hayek as appropriate gurus for the AAP Committee. Even Bhagwati will be unacceptable. Amartya Sen, in his latest avataar, fits the bill. Klitgaard is a good supplement." More here.

"I have an aim, I have a clear aim in my mind and the aim is that I do not like what I see in Indian politics, it is something that is inside my heart. It is like in our mythology when they talk about Arjun, he only sees one thing, he does not see anything else, you asked me about Mr. Modi you ask me about anything and the thing that I see is that the system in this country needs to change, I don't see anything else and I am blind to everything else. I am blind because I saw people I love destroyed by the system. I am blind because the system everyday is unfair to our people, I ask you today, you come from Assam and I am sure that you also in your work feel the unfairness of the system". More here. 

"Few countries in the world have been blessed with all the resources needed to create prosperity on a mass scale, but India has remained incapable of providing even drinking water to its people because of bad economic policies and a stunted, shabby idea of our place in the world." More here.

Sunday, October 27, 2013

"I have charted a different course, sir"

In any literature, the most interesting area is (auto)biography. In that order, the second most interesting is a narrative like this one by Mr.Prasad in today's The Pioneer.

There is a lot to say on how Mr.Prasad has charted a different course. The Hayek's two types of individual has some answer to it.

Other useful reading:




Wednesday, July 17, 2013

Prof F A Hayek & Narendra Modi

"Friedrich August Hayek, the Austrian-born philosopher and economist best known for his defence of classical liberalism, seemed to think it did, claiming that market economy inevitably required cultural underpinnings in the form of a set of “modern” values based on individualism. It’s a view echoed by American political scientistYoshihiro Francis Fukuyama for whom modernization, westernization, and democratization are all part of a single, unilinear process that will conclude when other cultures essentially ape the West. As opposed to this are the theories of cultural variation, which assert that there are different roads to modernization and different conclusions to the process of modernization." More here.

Monday, May 20, 2013

Amartya Sen on Hayek's The Road To Serfdom

For record, I reproduce the full review article by Professor Amartya Sen on Professor F A Hayek's one of the greatest book The Road To Serfdom. This article was first published in The Financial Times on September 20, 2004.



Friedrich Hayek's combative monograph The Road to Serfdom had a profound impact on political, economic and social thinking in the decades that followed its publication 60 years ago, serving as an intellectual manifesto against socialist planning and state intervention. But are Hayek's ideas and arguments of any interest today, after the downfall of communism and the emergence of neo-liberalism as the dominant ideology of contemporary capitalism? I would argue that they remain extremely important.

Consider Hayek's insistence that any institution, including the market, be judged by the extent to which it promotes human liberty and freedom. This is different from the more common praise of the market as a promoter of economic prosperity. A huge part of economic theory is concerned with the prosperity argument, going back to Adam Smith and David Ricardo. That connection is indeed important, and it is not surprising that so much attention has been devoted to seeing the market mechanism from this perspective - defending its achievements as well as disputing particular claims and proposing qualified endorsements. Yet Hayek was surely right to insist on clarity regarding the purpose of seeking prosperity. Markets have to be judged, he argued, by their role in advancing freedoms, not just in generating more income (as Hayek once said: making money can be of interest only to the miser). This integrative perspective demands that we be concerned both with the outcome of market processes (including the economic prosperity it may generate and the extent to which that would advance human freedom) and with the processes through which these results are brought about (including the liberty of action that people have in an institutional system).

It is the perspective of seeing markets and other institutions in terms of their role in advancing freedoms and liberties of individuals that Hayek brought into singular prominence. It may be pointed out, in contrast, that despite the title of Milton Friedman's famous book (with Rose Friedman), Free to Choose, the criteria by which Friedman tends to defend the market mechanism are not liberty and freedom, but prosperity and utility ("being free to choose" is seen as a good means - a fine instrument - rather than being valuable in itself). Even though a few other economists, James Buchanan in particular (and, to some extent, John Hicks), have presented insightful ideas on a freedom-centred line of reasoning, it is to Hayek we have to turn for the classic articulation of this way of seeing the merits of the market mechanism and what it gives to society.

I am not persuaded that Hayek got the substantive connections entirely right. He was too captivated by the enabling effects of the market system on human freedoms and tended to downplay - though he never fully ignored - the lack of freedom for some that may result from a complete reliance on the market system, with its exclusions and imperfections, and the social effects of big disparities in the ownership of assets. But it would be hard to deny Hayek's immense contribution to our understanding of the importance of judging institutions by the criterion of freedom.

A second contribution of Hayek is of particular relevance to thinkers on the right of the political spectrum. In The Road to Serfdom, he gave powerful reason to indicate why explicit provision has to be made by the state and the society for the deprived and the dispossessed. While Hayek is often taken to be uncompromisingly hostile to any economic role of the state (other than what is needed to support the market mechanism), and certainly late in his life he gave grounds for thinking that this could indeed be his view, nevertheless in The Road to Serfdom Hayek's position is much broader and inclusive than that. Now that the welfare state is often under such attack, it is worth recollecting that the pioneering manifesto that championed the market mechanism on grounds of freedom did not reject the need for a welfare state and provided a reasoned defence of it as an institutional necessity.

A third contribution of Hayek is of particular interest to those on the left of the political spectrum. Hayek's critique of state planning is mainly based on a subtle psychological argument. He was particularly concerned with the way centralised state planning and the huge asymmetry of power that tends to accompany it may generate a psychology of indifference to individual liberty. As Hayek put it: "I have never accused the socialist parties of deliberately aiming at a totalitarian regime or even suspected that the leaders of the old socialist movements might ever show such inclination." One of Hayek's central points was that "socialism can be put into practice only by methods of which most socialists disapprove".

We can hardly ignore the massive accumulation of evidence - before and after publication of The Road to Serfdom - of tyrannical use of bureaucratic power and privilege, and the political and economic corruption that tends to go with it. Hayek's central point here was to note that even though socialism has a strongly ethical quality, that is not in itself adequate to guarantee that the results of trying to implement it will be in line with its ethics, rather than being deflected and debased by the psychology of power and the influence of administrative arbitrariness.

Hayek was insightful in drawing attention to a basic vulnerability that goes with unrestrained administrative authority, and in explaining why social psychology and institutional incentives are extraordinarily important. To take the massive evidence in socialist practice of departures from expected behaviour to be no more than easily avoided individual aberrations would be comparable to blaming the "few bad apples" to whom the leaders of the coalition forces point in Iraq when they refuse to consider the systematic corruptibility underlying the torture and brutality of an unrestrained system of imprisonment. Incidentally, Hayek's psychological insights into administration also tell us something about the genesis of those terrible contemporary events.

Our debt to Hayek is very substantial. He helped to establish a freedom-based approach of evaluation through which economic systems can be judged (no matter what substantive judgments we arrive at). He pointed to the importance of identifying those services that the state can perform well and has a social duty to undertake. Finally, he showed why administrative psychology and propensities to corruptibility have to be considered in determining how states can, or cannot, work and how the world can, or cannot, be run.

As someone whose economics (as well as politics) is very different from Hayek's, I would like to use the 60th anniversary of The Road to Serfdom to say how greatly indebted we are to his writings in general and to this book in particular. Dialectics is critically important for the pursuit of understanding, and Hayek made outstanding contributions to the dialectics of contemporary economics.

The writer, Lamont university professor at Harvard University, was awarded the Nobel prize for economics in 1998.

Friday, April 26, 2013

Some links

"India is a vibrant democracy, and as the economic system failed the economically weak, the political system tried to compensate."

Why we still need to read Hayek: Hayek Lecture at Duck by Professor John B Taylor

"He doesn’t want the odium of polarized votes to overshadow his development and governance agenda. At best it should be a collateral benefit. He is smart enough, certainly, to know that young Indians, while deeply religious themselves, have moved beyond wanting to see religion used as a political tool."

"Learned Hand once wrote something that seems like an apt description of the wider context: "A community is already in the process of dissolution where each man begins to eye his neighbour as a possible enemy, where non-conformity is a mark of disaffection, where denunciation, without specification or backing takes place of evidence, where orthodoxy chokes freedom of dissent, and where faith in the eventual supremacy of reason has become so timid that we dare not enter our convictions in open lists." More here.

“He must be prepared to speak about everything, and often about nothing. He is expected to preserve temples, to keep the currency steady, to satisfy third-class passengers, to patronise race meetings, to make Bombay and Calcutta each think that it is the Capital city of India, and to purify the police… If he does not reform everything that is wrong, he is told that he is doing too little, if he reforms anything at all, that he is doing too much.

Tuesday, November 27, 2012

"The source of confusion here is that there was a Good Hayek and a Bad Hayek"

Prof Solo has very interesting book review article in NTR on Professor F A Hayek: A bit from it:

  • "The source of confusion here is that there was a Good Hayek and a Bad Hayek. The Good Hayek was a serious scholar who was particularly interested in the role of knowledge in the economy (and in the rest of society). Since knowledge—about technological possibilities, about citizens’ preferences, about the interconnections of these, about still more—is inevitably and thoroughly decentralized, the centralization of decisions is bound to generate errors and then fail to correct them. The consequences for society can be calamitous, as the history of central planning confirms. That is where markets come in. All economists know that a system of competitive markets is a remarkably efficient way to aggregate all that knowledge while preserving decentralization.
  • But the Good Hayek also knew that unrestricted laissez-faire is unworkable. It has serious defects: successful actors reach for monopoly power, and some of them succeed in grasping it; better-informed actors can exploit the relatively ignorant, creating an inefficiency in the process; the resulting distribution of income may be grossly unequal and widely perceived as intolerably unfair; industrial market economies have been vulnerable to excessively long episodes of unemployment and underutilized capacity, not accidentally but intrinsically; environmental damage is encouraged as a way of reducing private costs—the list is long. Half of Angus Burgin’s book is about the Good Hayek’s attempts to formulate and to propagate a modified version of laissez-faire that would work better and meet his standards for a liberal society. (Hayek and his friends were never able to settle on a name for this kind of society: “liberal” in the European tradition was associated with bad old Manchester liberalism, and neither “neo-liberal” nor “libertarian” seemed to be satisfactory.)"

Sunday, October 7, 2012

Some links

Last two days, I participated in the first Regional Conference on "Reforms for Citizen Centric Governance" held in Hyderabad. There are many new innovations taking place at State level in terms of improving the services delivery. 

Interesting readings:


Fasten your seatbelts by Nitin Pai




What Reform, Mr PM? by S Gurumurthy


Thursday, August 23, 2012

Prime time ahead for F A Hayek

"To an Austrian, the economy is incomprehensibly complex and constantly changing; and technocrats and politicians who claim to have figured out how to use government are deluded or self-interested or worse. According to Hayek, government intervention in the free market, like targeted tax cuts, can only make things worse." More here.

Tuesday, July 31, 2012

Milton Friedman@100

Today, the late versatile economics freedom loving professor Milton Friedman turns 100 year old. World over, celebrations have began, some write a piece of article, some put video contest, some write few blog posts, some organize lecture, some organize debate/discussion, some organize a freedom walk (India, Pune!!), some organize sweet talk among friends and some do it some or all the above for disagreement with whatever Professor Milton Friedman said in his life time.  


To me. Friedman was a kind of window through him and his works I saw the world of argument for and against on economics, of course the free market economics. Regarding his monetary economics stand, I differed to agree with Prof F A Hayek.


Simply, I often tell my peer group to remind and to students by way of introduction that Friedman means the following:
Here is a list of some others:
  1. Prof Donald J. Boudreaux's article on "Milton Friedman, a centennial appreciation"
  2.  Friedman on India
  3. Happy 100th birthday Milton Friedman
  4. Milton Friedman’s Century
  5. Time's Milton Friedman, Freedom Fighter

Monday, July 30, 2012

Its, Hayek's Time

From Desai's article:
  • "All this is so old-fashioned that it has been forgotten. On the eve of the Keynesian Revolution, Hayek was warning of mal-investments induced by the market rate of interest being below the natural rate for any length of time. This was the Wicksell model, tweaked by Ludwig von Mises and Hayek to accommodate bank credit in the Walrasian framework. It flopped spectacularly in the 1930s and was forgotten. But good ideas never die in economics. They only wait till their time comes. This is Hayek’s time.
  • Sadly, in Hayek as in Marx, economics is not a policy science and there are no tool kits to fix the problem. Time will restore the equilibrium perhaps not at the old trend but a new one. When that will happen is not within economists power to predict. Just wait and see."
But it clearly shows that Mr Desai is confusing what Wicksell or for that matter Walrasian argued with that of Hayek and Mises views on regulating rate of interest at particular level in an economy. The underlying truth is that Mr Desai never got it right the original arguments of Hayek and Mises. Rather he always looks at them through the wild eyes of Keynes!

Monday, April 23, 2012

Two men were six feet tall with meticulous mind

It has been a week now with a new book in hand. Unlike previous book on these two men, this one has many many interesting facts about their life and works which is nothing but quite contrasting and that may be the truth for their ideas which is living so long. OK, I am talking about the new book "Keynes Hayek The Clash That Defined Modern Economics" by Nicholas Wapshott.

The book has 18 chapters dividing the life and works of Keynes and Hayek. You don't need to go through all the 18 chapters to judge about the quality of book. I dare say, its enough for to judge after crossing third or forth chapters.   

But I must confess that if you have already read so much about their works and life separately. Well, I am sure that you will find this book some what irritating to read in non-stop.

I better suggest you should read some of the below reviews (also some excerpts) of this book before you buy your copy:





Keynes’ economic theory was more mechanistic, as economies could be manipulated in a machine-like fashion to behave according to the wishes of economic planners. 

Friday, November 11, 2011

Rajaji on Prof F A Hayek!

Those you have read a bit of Rajaji's views on political economy of India would not have surprised to know what he wrote in connection to professor F A Hayek's wisdom, read it yourself:

  • Rajaji was one of the earliest thinkers in India who were profoundly influenced by the writings of Prof. F. A. Hayek _ ``The Road to Serfdom'' _ who later won the Nobel in Economics in 1974. Rajaji distilled Prof. Hayek's critique of planning in a cryptic statement: ``The Socialist philosophy of controlled economy is based on the two false assumptions of the omniscience of Government and the stupidity of the people.'' In advocating competitive private enterprise based on ``responsible individualism'' or the extended concept of corporate social responsibility, Rajaji was clearly distancing himself away from the law of the jungle or the phenomenon of unethical competition.
  • He did not consider the controlled economy as the barrier for monopoly. ``It is not good certainly to let men with money become powerful. But as Hayek has written, it would be worse if only men politically powerful can make money. ..... The oxygen of competition has been displaced by the foul air of monopolies.....''
  • It was not surprising that Rajaji considered the controlled economy as a bane for its wasteful centralisation of the national economy in the hands of the ministers and the bureaucrats.
Read the full article "Rajaji — the forefather of liberalisation ethos" By S. Swaminathan

Tuesday, October 18, 2011

From an article published on Oct 16, 2002 in FE

Full article is here.

  • It is indeed sad that most Indian economists still believe in the Keynesian analysis that recessions are caused by insufficiency of demand and that the solution is a fiscal stimulus. Indian economists — barring Brahmananda and perhaps Surjit Bhalla — are totally oblivious to the Austrian business cycle theory, best articulated by Hayek. According to Hayek, recessions are brought about by excess supply, which is brought about by overinvestment. Each boom contains the seeds of the subsequent recession and each recession, the seeds of the subsequent boom. Readers would do well to study the above-mentioned Economist special issue which succinctly explains the Hayekian analysis (pages 8-9).
  • Hayek argues that if central banks hold interest rates below the equilibrium rate (that is, the rate at which the supply of savings equals the demand for investment funds), credit and investment would rise too rapidly and there would be a shortage of savings. Cheap credit and inflated profit expectations cause overinvestment and malinvestment in the wrong kind of sectors. Eventually, the mismatch between savings and investment can be resolved only by a rise in interest rates, making some investments unprofitable. Excess capacity will reduce profits and lead to investment collapses, ushering in a recession. As excess capacity is cut, profits rise and investment eventually recovers.
  • According to this analysis, the only way to prevent the turn of the cycle is to inject more credit which becomes unsustainable. A recession is not only inevitable, but necessary to correct the imbalance between saving and investment. The Economist argues that recent business cycles in the US and Japan have typical Hayekian features. The right policy response is to raise interest rate well before the boom spins into a downturn. But if inflation is low, central banks are reluctant to raise interest rates and as the cost of capital is way below the expected return, there is a surge in credit and investment to unsustainable levels. It is overinvestment which causes the return on capital to decline. The Hayekian analysis would point to the repeated easing of interest rates to be wrong as it merely delays the correction of past excesses.
  • Sir John Hicks,as far back as 1966, argued that developing countries typically fit into the Hayekian overinvestment mode. A recession is necessary to work off an imbalance between too much investment and too little saving. The moral is that injecting created money and lowering interest rates only delays the cleansing process. The output losses would be much less if central banks prevent the boom from reaching unsustainable levels by a timely increase in interest rates when growth rate and investment goes into an unsustainable upswing. Monetary policy is most effective when it cools the overheating; it is totally impotent during the downturn of activity. Lowering interest rates would be ineffective and only delay the adjustment.